Forecast heuristics, consumer expectations, and New-Keynesian macroeconomics: A Horse race

Intermediate Macroeconomics: New Keynesian Model

Among mainstream academic economists and policymakers, the leading alternative to the real business cycle theory is the New Keynesian model. Whereas the real business cycle model features monetary neutrality and emphasizes that there should be no active stabilization policy by governments, the New Keynesian model builds in a friction that generates monetary non-neutrality and gives rise to a we...

A Future for Keynesian Macroeconomics

A New Keynesian Model with Heterogeneous Expectations

This paper introduces heterogeneous expectations into a New Keynesian model. Our primary theoretical contribution is to provide an aggregation result for a model with nominal rigidities and heterogeneous bounded rationality. We incorporate bounded rationality at the individual agent level and determine restrictions on expectations operators sufficient to imply aggregate IS and AS relations of t...

Intermediate Macroeconomics: Keynesian Models

At the risk of some oversimplification, the leading alternatives to the neoclassical / real business cycle model for understanding short run fluctuations are Keynesian models. I phrase this in the plural because there are multiple different versions of the Keynesian model, which differ in terms of how the aggregate supply block of the economy is formulated. Whereas neoclassical models emphasize...

After Keynesian Macroeconomics and Discussion

For the applied economist, the confident and apparently successful application of Keynesian principles to economic policy which occurred in the United States in the 1960s was an event of incomparable significance and satisfaction. These principles led to a set of simple, quantitative relationships between fiscal policy and economic activity generally, the basic logic of which could be (and was)...